Vermilion Energy is downgraded to Buy after a >100% rally, with valuation less asymmetric but still attractive. VET's portfolio shift toward long-life European gas assets and improved capital efficiency supports robust free cash flow and shareholder returns. Despite substantial hedging (~50% of 2026 production), VET trades at a >16% FCF yield and targets a $16/share fair value, implying 30% upside.









